Drifting Fate

China, amidst strong world condemnation for falsifying the number of deaths in Wuhan, recently released new numbers. The amount dead almost doubled, but considering this is the epicenter of the pandemic, less than 4,000 deaths in a city of 11,000,000, it’s still hardly credible. Either they are still lying (very possible), or its just more evidence of extreme over reaction on everyone’s (ok, not Sweden’s) part. Let's pretend for the moment the numbers a real, in Wuhan, 4.6% of the population caught the virus. Of those. 7.7% died.  But that means the death rate to the overall population is currently .035%. Meanwhile, South Korea reports that about 2% of those who had COVID-19 test positive a second time within a month of initial recovery. They say these people are not nearly as contagious as an initial case and the only some show even mild symptoms. While doctors are choking teenagers for not properly social distancing, the world actually seems to be handling this pretty wel...

I'm not the biggest Joe Rogan fan but I will say that he does an excellent job with his guest selection. This is a link to an interview with Michael Olsterholm who is an infectious disease "detective." As of today, WHO has called COVID-19 a pandemic, which really isn't a surprise to anyone.  With international flights and a two-week incubation period during which people are highly contegious, this has been the plot of many a thriller book and movie. Gloves and masks are essentially worthless.  No vaccine anytime soon.  What about pre-emptive self-quarantines?  Yes, if you can afford to do it and you are older.  Closing schools is actually counterproductive as children really aren't catching COVID-19, a good thing, and then you're going to be pulling parents, many of whom work in the medical field out of circulation, a bad thing. From a business standpoint, we are in for a world of hurt.  Our economy relies on off-shore production of medical su...